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    Federal ReserveAnalysis

    Fed Expected to Hold at 3.75% to 4% as Hot Inflation Keeps December Hike in Play

    Six weeks after its first increase since 2023, the Warsh-led Fed weighs a pause against September's jump in consumer prices.

    Capital Times Staff3 min read

    1. Federal Reserve

      Fed Holds Rates at 3.75% to 4% in 10-2 Vote as Warsh Plans Fewer Rate Decisions

      Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack wanted a hike, markets still see one in December, and in 2027 the Fed will set rates at only seven of its eight meetings.

      Capital Times Staff4 min read

    2. People's Bank of China

      PBOC Makes 1.25% Overnight Rate Its Main Policy Rate, Injects 541 Billion Yuan on Day One

      China's central bank now steers money markets with daily one-day loans priced 15 basis points below the old seven-day benchmark, a step analysts call a de facto cut.

      Capital Times Staff4 min read

    3. Central BanksAnalysis

      Asia's Central Banks Swing to Tightening in 2026 as Energy Costs Lift Prices

      From Jakarta to Tokyo, policymakers have raised rates or tightened currency settings this year. China is the main exception.

      Capital Times Staff3 min read

    4. Federal Reserve

      Fed's Hammack Backs Gradual Rate Hikes With Inflation at 3.6%; December Odds Ease to 70%

      The Cleveland Fed chief, a dissenter at last week's hold, wants policy to turn restrictive in smaller, more frequent steps. Richmond's Barkin struck a similar note.

      Capital Times Staff3 min read

    5. Pakistan

      State Bank of Pakistan Raises Policy Rate to 12% as Oil and Wheat Keep Inflation Above 10%

      A 50-basis-point increase, the second of 2026, aims to stop energy and food costs from seeping into core prices as reserves reach $21.5 billion.

      Capital Times Staff4 min read

    6. Brazil

      Brazil's Central Bank Holds Selic at 13.75%, Halting Rate Cuts as Inflation Tops Target

      The Copom voted unanimously to stop after five cuts since April, citing oil, a weaker real and inflation expectations that keep drifting from the 3% goal.

      Capital Times Staff4 min read

    7. Nordic Central Banks

      Riksbank Raises Rate to 2%, First Hike Since 2023, as Norges Bank Holds at 4.5%

      Sweden tightened for the first time in three years and signaled more to come, while Norway paused after September's increase and warned it could move again.

      Capital Times Staff3 min read

    8. AnalysisAnalysis

      China's Central Bank Bought 63 Tonnes of Gold in Q3, Leading Asia's Official Buyers

      The People's Bank of China had its strongest quarter of gold purchases since 2023, while Central Asian banks kept adding and India held steady.

      Capital Times Staff3 min read

    9. Federal Reserve

      Fed Survey: U.S. Banks Tighten Property Lending as Loan Demand Falls After September Hike

      The Federal Reserve's October survey of senior loan officers found weaker demand for business, property and mortgage loans, a sign the September rate increase is reaching borrowers.

      Capital Times Staff4 min read

    10. Bank of Japan

      BOJ Minutes Show Board Ready to Drop Twice-a-Year Hike Pace After Move to 1.25%

      Records of the September meeting show members saying policy had entered a new phase, with one warning the bank may need to speed up if prices overshoot.

      Capital Times Staff4 min read

    11. India

      RBI Names Morgan Stanley, Citi Bankers to New Markets Panel as It Drains Surplus Cash

      India's central bank sets up a seven-member advisory committee on bond, currency and money markets while banks shun its reverse repo auctions.

      Capital Times Staff3 min read

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